President Donald Trump's secure position in his second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, after winning the 2024 election, drives trader consensus at 100% "No" on him exiting office by April 30, 2026—over two years before his constitutional term ends January 20, 2029. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health crises, have surfaced to threaten his tenure, reflecting the high bar for presidential removal via congressional votes or cabinet action. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores stability amid routine executive actions. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, special counsel indictments, or sudden medical events, though historical precedents like failed impeachments show such hurdles rarely succeed mid-term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,952,569 Vol.
$16,952,569 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$16,952,569 Vol.
$16,952,569 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's secure position in his second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, after winning the 2024 election, drives trader consensus at 100% "No" on him exiting office by April 30, 2026—over two years before his constitutional term ends January 20, 2029. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health crises, have surfaced to threaten his tenure, reflecting the high bar for presidential removal via congressional votes or cabinet action. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores stability amid routine executive actions. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, special counsel indictments, or sudden medical events, though historical precedents like failed impeachments show such hurdles rarely succeed mid-term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$16,952,569End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's secure position in his second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, after winning the 2024 election, drives trader consensus at 100% "No" on him exiting office by April 30, 2026—over two years before his constitutional term ends January 20, 2029. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health crises, have surfaced to threaten his tenure, reflecting the high bar for presidential removal via congressional votes or cabinet action. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores stability amid routine executive actions. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, special counsel indictments, or sudden medical events, though historical precedents like failed impeachments show such hurdles rarely succeed mid-term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$16,952,569End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's secure position in his second term, inaugurated January 20, 2025, after winning the 2024 election, drives trader consensus at 100% "No" on him exiting office by April 30, 2026—over two years before his constitutional term ends January 20, 2029. No verified developments in the past 30 days, including impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, resignation signals, or health crises, have surfaced to threaten his tenure, reflecting the high bar for presidential removal via congressional votes or cabinet action. This skin-in-the-game pricing underscores stability amid routine executive actions. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, special counsel indictments, or sudden medical events, though historical precedents like failed impeachments show such hurdles rarely succeed mid-term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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