Trump's second term, which began in January 2025 with a Republican trifecta, shows no credible indications of early departure through resignation. The president has publicly focused on his agenda through the 2026 midterms and beyond, with term limits setting expiration in January 2029. Speculation from figures like James Carville about post-midterm exit remains unverified partisan commentary, while isolated calls for removal or 25th Amendment invocation lack broad congressional or cabinet support. Historical precedent favors incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary circumstances such as health crises or bipartisan consensus for removal. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93.5% because scheduled elections, legislative priorities, and absence of concrete pressure align with continuity through December 2026.