Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible catalysts amid ongoing White House stability. No official announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged in recent weeks to challenge his commitment to serving through his second term ending January 20, 2029. Speculative op-eds, such as policy expert William Becker's April 20 call for a health-based exit to preserve legacy, and earlier partisan predictions like James Carville's March forecast of frustration-driven departure, have failed to sway markets, viewed as unsubstantiated. Trump remains publicly active, including press gaggles on April 25, with GOP congressional control insulating against removal efforts. Odds could shift via unforeseen scandals, indictments, or medical events ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible catalysts amid ongoing White House stability. No official announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged in recent weeks to challenge his commitment to serving through his second term ending January 20, 2029. Speculative op-eds, such as policy expert William Becker's April 20 call for a health-based exit to preserve legacy, and earlier partisan predictions like James Carville's March forecast of frustration-driven departure, have failed to sway markets, viewed as unsubstantiated. Trump remains publicly active, including press gaggles on April 25, with GOP congressional control insulating against removal efforts. Odds could shift via unforeseen scandals, indictments, or medical events ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible catalysts amid ongoing White House stability. No official announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged in recent weeks to challenge his commitment to serving through his second term ending January 20, 2029. Speculative op-eds, such as policy expert William Becker's April 20 call for a health-based exit to preserve legacy, and earlier partisan predictions like James Carville's March forecast of frustration-driven departure, have failed to sway markets, viewed as unsubstantiated. Trump remains publicly active, including press gaggles on April 25, with GOP congressional control insulating against removal efforts. Odds could shift via unforeseen scandals, indictments, or medical events ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on President Trump's resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible catalysts amid ongoing White House stability. No official announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings have emerged in recent weeks to challenge his commitment to serving through his second term ending January 20, 2029. Speculative op-eds, such as policy expert William Becker's April 20 call for a health-based exit to preserve legacy, and earlier partisan predictions like James Carville's March forecast of frustration-driven departure, have failed to sway markets, viewed as unsubstantiated. Trump remains publicly active, including press gaggles on April 25, with GOP congressional control insulating against removal efforts. Odds could shift via unforeseen scandals, indictments, or medical events ahead of November 2026 midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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