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Politics·UK

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·UK

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

Lutfur Rahman 92%

Sirajul Islam 5.0%

Hugo Pierre 3.7%

Terence McGrenera <1%

Polymarket

$10,776 Vol.

Lutfur Rahman 92%

Sirajul Islam 5.0%

Hugo Pierre 3.7%

Terence McGrenera <1%

Polymarket

$10,776 Vol.

icon for Lutfur Rahman

Lutfur Rahman

$4,344 Vol.

92%

icon for Sirajul Islam

Sirajul Islam

$1,458 Vol.

5%

icon for Hugo Pierre

Hugo Pierre

$667 Vol.

4%

icon for Terence McGrenera

Terence McGrenera

$546 Vol.

1%

icon for Zami Ali

Zami Ali

$555 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Gerald Bullard

John Gerald Bullard

$941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hirra Khan Adeogun

Hirra Khan Adeogun

$1,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed Abdul Hannan

Mohammed Abdul Hannan

$755 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Aidan Nolan

Dominic Aidan Nolan

$472 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.Incumbent Lutfur Rahman of the Aspire party commands 92% trader consensus in the Tower Hamlets mayoral election set for May 7, driven by his strong hold on the borough's large Bangladeshi community and Aspire's dominance of the local council following his 2022 re-election under the supplementary vote system. Recent campaigning since mid-April nominations has emphasized Rahman's record on council housing, youth services, and free school meals, with fragmented opposition—led by Labour's Sirajul Islam at 8%—failing to consolidate challenges amid nine candidates total. While no new polls have surfaced in the past week, historical turnout patterns and base loyalty underpin the pricing; upset scenarios include depressed Aspire turnout, unified second-preference transfers against Rahman, or late-breaking controversies before polls close.

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
Volume
$10,776
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.Incumbent Lutfur Rahman of the Aspire party commands 92% trader consensus in the Tower Hamlets mayoral election set for May 7, driven by his strong hold on the borough's large Bangladeshi community and Aspire's dominance of the local council following his 2022 re-election under the supplementary vote system. Recent campaigning since mid-April nominations has emphasized Rahman's record on council housing, youth services, and free school meals, with fragmented opposition—led by Labour's Sirajul Islam at 8%—failing to consolidate challenges amid nine candidates total. While no new polls have surfaced in the past week, historical turnout patterns and base loyalty underpin the pricing; upset scenarios include depressed Aspire turnout, unified second-preference transfers against Rahman, or late-breaking controversies before polls close.

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
Volume
$10,776
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lutfur Rahman" at 92%, followed by "Sirajul Islam" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" is "Lutfur Rahman" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sirajul Islam" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.