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Politics·London

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Newham Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·London

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Forhad Hussain 52%

Mehmood Mirza 30.6%

Areeq Chowdhury 11.2%

Terri Bloore <1%

Polymarket

$32,123 Vol.

Forhad Hussain 52%

Mehmood Mirza 30.6%

Areeq Chowdhury 11.2%

Terri Bloore <1%

Polymarket

$32,123 Vol.

icon for Forhad Hussain

Forhad Hussain

$17,487 Vol.

52%

icon for Mehmood Mirza

Mehmood Mirza

$4,979 Vol.

37%

icon for Areeq Chowdhury

Areeq Chowdhury

$3,794 Vol.

11%

icon for Terri Bloore

Terri Bloore

$1,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clive Furness

Clive Furness

$840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kamran Malik

Kamran Malik

$1,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bharath Swamy

Bharath Swamy

$1,126 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laura Claire Willoughby

Laura Claire Willoughby

$1,301 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.With the Newham mayoral election set for May 7 under first-past-the-post voting, trader consensus favors Labour's Forhad Hussain at 51.5% implied probability, anchored by the party's unbroken hold on the role since 2002 and low historical turnout benefiting incumbents. Newham Independents' Mehmood Mirza polls second at 35%, propelled by the party's hat-trick of council by-election victories since 2022 amid voter frustration over knife crime, homelessness—the highest in England—and the borough's worst social housing rating. Green's Areeq Chowdhury, a former Labour member, sits at 11.8% with an anti-corruption platform targeting governance failures. Recent BBC reporting from the past week underscores Labour infighting and challengers' momentum, tightening the closely contested race as postal voting concludes.

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
Volume
$32,123
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.With the Newham mayoral election set for May 7 under first-past-the-post voting, trader consensus favors Labour's Forhad Hussain at 51.5% implied probability, anchored by the party's unbroken hold on the role since 2002 and low historical turnout benefiting incumbents. Newham Independents' Mehmood Mirza polls second at 35%, propelled by the party's hat-trick of council by-election victories since 2022 amid voter frustration over knife crime, homelessness—the highest in England—and the borough's worst social housing rating. Green's Areeq Chowdhury, a former Labour member, sits at 11.8% with an anti-corruption platform targeting governance failures. Recent BBC reporting from the past week underscores Labour infighting and challengers' momentum, tightening the closely contested race as postal voting concludes.

The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.
Volume
$32,123
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Newham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newham as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Newham Council.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Newham Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Forhad Hussain" at 52%, followed by "Mehmood Mirza" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newham Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $32.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newham Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newham Mayoral Election Winner" is "Forhad Hussain" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mehmood Mirza" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newham Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.