Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 63% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, ahead of Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 37.5%, reflecting Greens' surging momentum amid an open seat after incumbent Brenda Dacres entered the House of Lords in January. PollCheck projections show Greens poised for council control with 33 of 54 seats and 38% vote share versus Labour's 34%, driven by recent councillor defections from Labour and a 2% swing to Greens since 2022. A YouGov MRP last week highlighted similar Green gains across London boroughs, underscoring anti-incumbent sentiment in this first-past-the-post contest as campaigns intensify ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiam Shrivastava 63%
Amanda De Ryk 38%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,685 Vol.
$39,685 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
63%

Amanda De Ryk
38%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Liam Shrivastava 63%
Amanda De Ryk 38%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,685 Vol.
$39,685 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
63%

Amanda De Ryk
38%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 63% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, ahead of Labour's Amanda De Ryk at 37.5%, reflecting Greens' surging momentum amid an open seat after incumbent Brenda Dacres entered the House of Lords in January. PollCheck projections show Greens poised for council control with 33 of 54 seats and 38% vote share versus Labour's 34%, driven by recent councillor defections from Labour and a 2% swing to Greens since 2022. A YouGov MRP last week highlighted similar Green gains across London boroughs, underscoring anti-incumbent sentiment in this first-past-the-post contest as campaigns intensify ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions