Labour's Rowenna Davis holds a commanding 66% trader consensus to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, reflecting consistent slight leads in recent opinion polls despite a highly fragmented field. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 27.5% amid ongoing scrutiny of borough finances, including past bankruptcy, 33% council tax hikes, and service cuts during his term since narrowly winning in 2022. A Sky/YouGov poll (April 22) showed Davis at 24% to Perry's 23%, with Greens (Peter Underwood, 6.5%) and Reform (Ben Flook) at 19% and 10%; a JLPartners MRP (April 30) tightened further to Labour 23%, Conservatives 21%, Reform 20% rising, eroding both frontrunners as opposition splits the vote and projects a sub-25% winning share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 66%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 6.5%
Ben Flook 1.3%
$84,928 Vol.
$84,928 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
66%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
6%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 66%
Jason Perry 28%
Peter Underwood 6.5%
Ben Flook 1.3%
$84,928 Vol.
$84,928 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
66%

Jason Perry
28%

Peter Underwood
6%

Ben Flook
1%

Jose Joseph
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis holds a commanding 66% trader consensus to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post rules, reflecting consistent slight leads in recent opinion polls despite a highly fragmented field. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 27.5% amid ongoing scrutiny of borough finances, including past bankruptcy, 33% council tax hikes, and service cuts during his term since narrowly winning in 2022. A Sky/YouGov poll (April 22) showed Davis at 24% to Perry's 23%, with Greens (Peter Underwood, 6.5%) and Reform (Ben Flook) at 19% and 10%; a JLPartners MRP (April 30) tightened further to Labour 23%, Conservatives 21%, Reform 20% rising, eroding both frontrunners as opposition splits the vote and projects a sub-25% winning share.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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