icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Economy·Mexico

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

icon for Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Economy·Mexico

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Ended: Apr 30

Ended: Apr 30

0.0-0.5% 100.0%

<0.0% <1%

0.5-1.0% <1%

1.0-1.5% <1%

$8,879 Vol.

$8,879 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026

<0.0%

$1,317 Vol.

No

0.0-0.5%

$1,955 Vol.

Yes

0.5-1.0%

$1,379 Vol.

No

1.0-1.5%

$1,724 Vol.

No

1.5-2.0%

$1,320 Vol.

No

2.0-2.5%

$866 Vol.

No

>2.5%

$684 Vol.

No

0.0-0.5% 100.0%

<0.0% <1%

0.5-1.0% <1%

1.0-1.5% <1%

$8,879 Vol.

$8,879 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026

<0.0%

$1,317 Vol.

No

0.0-0.5%

$1,955 Vol.

Yes

0.5-1.0%

$1,379 Vol.

No

1.0-1.5%

$1,724 Vol.

No

1.5-2.0%

$1,320 Vol.

No

2.0-2.5%

$866 Vol.

No

>2.5%

$684 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0.0-0.5%" at 100%, followed by "<0.0%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" is "0.0-0.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<0.0%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "0.0-0.5%" in the "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "0.0-0.5%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

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