**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the overnight low for Tokyo on June 16 near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where the daily normal minimum sits at 18.7°C amid rising humidity and the early stages of the rainy season transition. Model consensus emphasizes clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions overnight that permit modest radiative cooling, keeping the minimum slightly below average without significant frontal influences or cloud cover to trap heat. Updated JMA guidance issued June 15 reinforces the 17°C figure in the three-day outlook, while supporting runs show 16°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17–18°C range. Further model runs or satellite observations through the evening of June 15 could refine these values ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
18°C 42%
17°C 34%
19°C 9.7%
16°C 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
34%
18°C
42%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 34%
19°C 9.7%
16°C 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$184 Vol.
1%
15°C
$76 Vol.
2%
16°C
$36 Vol.
2%
17°C
$87 Vol.
34%
18°C
$93 Vol.
42%
19°C
$39 Vol.
10%
20°C
$62 Vol.
2%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the overnight low for Tokyo on June 16 near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances.**
This aligns with mid-June climatology, where the daily normal minimum sits at 18.7°C amid rising humidity and the early stages of the rainy season transition. Model consensus emphasizes clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions overnight that permit modest radiative cooling, keeping the minimum slightly below average without significant frontal influences or cloud cover to trap heat. Updated JMA guidance issued June 15 reinforces the 17°C figure in the three-day outlook, while supporting runs show 16°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17–18°C range. Further model runs or satellite observations through the evening of June 15 could refine these values ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,083End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the overnight low for Tokyo on June 16 near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances.**
This aligns with mid-June climatology, where the daily normal minimum sits at 18.7°C amid rising humidity and the early stages of the rainy season transition. Model consensus emphasizes clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions overnight that permit modest radiative cooling, keeping the minimum slightly below average without significant frontal influences or cloud cover to trap heat. Updated JMA guidance issued June 15 reinforces the 17°C figure in the three-day outlook, while supporting runs show 16°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17–18°C range. Further model runs or satellite observations through the evening of June 15 could refine these values ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,083End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the overnight low for Tokyo on June 16 near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation chances.** This aligns with mid-June climatology, where the daily normal minimum sits at 18.7°C amid rising humidity and the early stages of the rainy season transition. Model consensus emphasizes clear-to-partly-cloudy conditions overnight that permit modest radiative cooling, keeping the minimum slightly below average without significant frontal influences or cloud cover to trap heat. Updated JMA guidance issued June 15 reinforces the 17°C figure in the three-day outlook, while supporting runs show 16°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 17–18°C range. Further model runs or satellite observations through the evening of June 15 could refine these values ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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