Recent forecasts for Shanghai on June 16 point to an overnight low near 22–23°C, driven by persistent Meiyu-season cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature swings, while scattered thundery showers may further moderate minima through evaporative effects. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows tight clustering around these values, with slight divergences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow edge between 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Historical June averages near 21–22°C lows provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly warmer readings this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 10%
20°C 5.0%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 32%
24°C 10%
20°C 5.0%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
35%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on June 16 point to an overnight low near 22–23°C, driven by persistent Meiyu-season cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon reduces temperature swings, while scattered thundery showers may further moderate minima through evaporative effects. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows tight clustering around these values, with slight divergences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of any frontal passage creating the narrow edge between 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Historical June averages near 21–22°C lows provide context, but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly warmer readings this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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