Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15 because mid-June climatology and extended-range forecasts consistently point to overnight lows near that threshold. Shanghai’s subtropical regime during the East Asian monsoon transition typically produces daily minima of 21–24°C, with AccuWeather’s June 2026 outlook showing overnight lows centered around 22–25°C amid humid, cloudy conditions and frequent light rain. Recent model consensus and historical station data reinforce this narrow band, as no strong cold-air intrusion or atypical high-pressure setup is indicated for the immediate period. A sharper-than-expected frontal passage or revised mesoscale forecast could still shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C, but such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de junio?
22°C 92%
21°C 11.7%
20°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
$25,034 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,034 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
14%
22°C
92%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 92%
21°C 11.7%
20°C 1.5%
19°C <1%
NUEVO
$25,034 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,034 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$523 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,562 Vol.
2%
21°C
$554 Vol.
14%
22°C
$839 Vol.
92%
23°C
$12,779 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$783 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15 because mid-June climatology and extended-range forecasts consistently point to overnight lows near that threshold. Shanghai’s subtropical regime during the East Asian monsoon transition typically produces daily minima of 21–24°C, with AccuWeather’s June 2026 outlook showing overnight lows centered around 22–25°C amid humid, cloudy conditions and frequent light rain. Recent model consensus and historical station data reinforce this narrow band, as no strong cold-air intrusion or atypical high-pressure setup is indicated for the immediate period. A sharper-than-expected frontal passage or revised mesoscale forecast could still shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C, but such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$25,034Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15 because mid-June climatology and extended-range forecasts consistently point to overnight lows near that threshold. Shanghai’s subtropical regime during the East Asian monsoon transition typically produces daily minima of 21–24°C, with AccuWeather’s June 2026 outlook showing overnight lows centered around 22–25°C amid humid, cloudy conditions and frequent light rain. Recent model consensus and historical station data reinforce this narrow band, as no strong cold-air intrusion or atypical high-pressure setup is indicated for the immediate period. A sharper-than-expected frontal passage or revised mesoscale forecast could still shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C, but such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,034Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability to a 22°C minimum in Shanghai on June 15 because mid-June climatology and extended-range forecasts consistently point to overnight lows near that threshold. Shanghai’s subtropical regime during the East Asian monsoon transition typically produces daily minima of 21–24°C, with AccuWeather’s June 2026 outlook showing overnight lows centered around 22–25°C amid humid, cloudy conditions and frequent light rain. Recent model consensus and historical station data reinforce this narrow band, as no strong cold-air intrusion or atypical high-pressure setup is indicated for the immediate period. A sharper-than-expected frontal passage or revised mesoscale forecast could still shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C, but such deviations remain low-probability given current atmospheric guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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