Forecast models and observational data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration support a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the East Asian Meiyu season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling, maintaining overnight lows in the typical 21–23°C range for mid-June rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent extended forecasts consistently project lows around 71–73°F (22–23°C) amid light rain or overcast skies, aligning with historical climatology where average June minima hover near 20–22°C. Strong trader consensus on 22°C reflects this narrow scientific outlook, though a sudden clearing of skies or an unforecasted frontal passage could permit additional cooling toward 20°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 94%
21°C 5.0%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NEW
$25,422 Vol.
NEW
$25,422 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
94%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 94%
21°C 5.0%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
NEW
$25,422 Vol.
NEW
$25,422 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$527 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,567 Vol.
1%
21°C
$568 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,198 Vol.
94%
23°C
$12,779 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$783 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration support a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the East Asian Meiyu season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling, maintaining overnight lows in the typical 21–23°C range for mid-June rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent extended forecasts consistently project lows around 71–73°F (22–23°C) amid light rain or overcast skies, aligning with historical climatology where average June minima hover near 20–22°C. Strong trader consensus on 22°C reflects this narrow scientific outlook, though a sudden clearing of skies or an unforecasted frontal passage could permit additional cooling toward 20°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$25,422End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration support a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the East Asian Meiyu season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling, maintaining overnight lows in the typical 21–23°C range for mid-June rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent extended forecasts consistently project lows around 71–73°F (22–23°C) amid light rain or overcast skies, aligning with historical climatology where average June minima hover near 20–22°C. Strong trader consensus on 22°C reflects this narrow scientific outlook, though a sudden clearing of skies or an unforecasted frontal passage could permit additional cooling toward 20°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,422End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration support a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and high humidity during the East Asian Meiyu season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling, maintaining overnight lows in the typical 21–23°C range for mid-June rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent extended forecasts consistently project lows around 71–73°F (22–23°C) amid light rain or overcast skies, aligning with historical climatology where average June minima hover near 20–22°C. Strong trader consensus on 22°C reflects this narrow scientific outlook, though a sudden clearing of skies or an unforecasted frontal passage could permit additional cooling toward 20°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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