Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, aligning with typical early-summer conditions before peak monsoon influences. This consensus, reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability for 19°C as the daily minimum, stems from stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical June baselines show average lows around 18–21°C, supporting the positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or revised model runs showing greater radiative cooling could shift outcomes toward 18°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such deviations before the morning measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
19°C 97.4%
18°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
NEW
$11,954 Vol.
NEW
$11,954 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
97%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 97.4%
18°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
NEW
$11,954 Vol.
NEW
$11,954 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
$834 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,073 Vol.
1%
16°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$555 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,449 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,403 Vol.
97%
20°C
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, aligning with typical early-summer conditions before peak monsoon influences. This consensus, reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability for 19°C as the daily minimum, stems from stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical June baselines show average lows around 18–21°C, supporting the positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or revised model runs showing greater radiative cooling could shift outcomes toward 18°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such deviations before the morning measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$11,954End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, aligning with typical early-summer conditions before peak monsoon influences. This consensus, reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability for 19°C as the daily minimum, stems from stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical June baselines show average lows around 18–21°C, supporting the positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or revised model runs showing greater radiative cooling could shift outcomes toward 18°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such deviations before the morning measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,954End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate an overnight low near 19°C for Seoul on June 15, 2026, aligning with typical early-summer conditions before peak monsoon influences. This consensus, reflected in the market's 97.4% implied probability for 19°C as the daily minimum, stems from stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity and limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical June baselines show average lows around 18–21°C, supporting the positioning. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or revised model runs showing greater radiative cooling could shift outcomes toward 18°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such deviations before the morning measurement window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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