Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in London on June 15, driven by a return to near-average early-summer conditions after May’s exceptional warmth. Light to moderate westerly winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and moderate radiational cooling under a high-pressure influence favor these values, consistent with climatological June lows around 12–14°C. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11°C or above 14°C, reflecting stable Atlantic air masses and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13°C (44.5%) as the most likely outcome given recent model runs, with 12°C close behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 15?
Lowest temperature in London on June 15?
13°C 50%
12°C 18%
14°C 16%
15°C 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
24%
13°C
47%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 18%
14°C 16%
15°C 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$420 Vol.
2%
12°C
$317 Vol.
24%
13°C
$352 Vol.
47%
14°C
$453 Vol.
26%
15°C
$655 Vol.
4%
16°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in London on June 15, driven by a return to near-average early-summer conditions after May’s exceptional warmth. Light to moderate westerly winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and moderate radiational cooling under a high-pressure influence favor these values, consistent with climatological June lows around 12–14°C. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11°C or above 14°C, reflecting stable Atlantic air masses and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13°C (44.5%) as the most likely outcome given recent model runs, with 12°C close behind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$4,482End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in London on June 15, driven by a return to near-average early-summer conditions after May’s exceptional warmth. Light to moderate westerly winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and moderate radiational cooling under a high-pressure influence favor these values, consistent with climatological June lows around 12–14°C. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11°C or above 14°C, reflecting stable Atlantic air masses and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13°C (44.5%) as the most likely outcome given recent model runs, with 12°C close behind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,482End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in London on June 15, driven by a return to near-average early-summer conditions after May’s exceptional warmth. Light to moderate westerly winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and moderate radiational cooling under a high-pressure influence favor these values, consistent with climatological June lows around 12–14°C. Ensemble guidance shows little spread below 11°C or above 14°C, reflecting stable Atlantic air masses and no strong frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before dawn. Traders assign highest implied probability to 13°C (44.5%) as the most likely outcome given recent model runs, with 12°C close behind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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