**Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate an overnight low around 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, with daytime highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This positions 13°C and 14°C as the leading market outcomes because the minimum temperature—typically reached in the pre-dawn hours—aligns closely with these values amid typical June maritime influences from the North Atlantic that moderate extremes. Scientific factors include the seasonal baseline (June average lows near 11–12°C), current high pressure and reduced cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light easterly or southeasterly winds preventing colder air advection. Model consensus supports minimal overnight drop, though slight variations in exact timing or localized urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty favoring the 13–14°C range over higher or lower thresholds. No major recent shifts, such as unexpected fronts or model revisions, have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 15?
Lowest temperature in London on June 15?
13°C 41%
14°C 38%
12°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
12%
13°C
40%
14°C
42%
15°C
17%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 41%
14°C 38%
12°C 18%
15°C 5.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
$338 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$550 Vol.
1%
12°C
$447 Vol.
12%
13°C
$524 Vol.
40%
14°C
$639 Vol.
42%
15°C
$832 Vol.
17%
16°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate an overnight low around 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, with daytime highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This positions 13°C and 14°C as the leading market outcomes because the minimum temperature—typically reached in the pre-dawn hours—aligns closely with these values amid typical June maritime influences from the North Atlantic that moderate extremes.
Scientific factors include the seasonal baseline (June average lows near 11–12°C), current high pressure and reduced cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light easterly or southeasterly winds preventing colder air advection. Model consensus supports minimal overnight drop, though slight variations in exact timing or localized urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty favoring the 13–14°C range over higher or lower thresholds. No major recent shifts, such as unexpected fronts or model revisions, have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$4,532End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate an overnight low around 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, with daytime highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This positions 13°C and 14°C as the leading market outcomes because the minimum temperature—typically reached in the pre-dawn hours—aligns closely with these values amid typical June maritime influences from the North Atlantic that moderate extremes.
Scientific factors include the seasonal baseline (June average lows near 11–12°C), current high pressure and reduced cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light easterly or southeasterly winds preventing colder air advection. Model consensus supports minimal overnight drop, though slight variations in exact timing or localized urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty favoring the 13–14°C range over higher or lower thresholds. No major recent shifts, such as unexpected fronts or model revisions, have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,532End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate an overnight low around 14–15°C for London on June 15, 2026, with daytime highs of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This positions 13°C and 14°C as the leading market outcomes because the minimum temperature—typically reached in the pre-dawn hours—aligns closely with these values amid typical June maritime influences from the North Atlantic that moderate extremes. Scientific factors include the seasonal baseline (June average lows near 11–12°C), current high pressure and reduced cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light easterly or southeasterly winds preventing colder air advection. Model consensus supports minimal overnight drop, though slight variations in exact timing or localized urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty favoring the 13–14°C range over higher or lower thresholds. No major recent shifts, such as unexpected fronts or model revisions, have altered this consensus in the past 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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