The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following incumbent Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The May 19 primaries produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, with the district's R+7 partisan voting index and history of double-digit Republican margins supporting the current 65% Republican versus 30% Democratic market consensus. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,564 Vol.
$25,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
65%
Partido Demócrata
30%
$25,564 Vol.
$25,564 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,746 Vol.
65%
Partido Demócrata
$15,819 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following incumbent Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The May 19 primaries produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, with the district's R+7 partisan voting index and history of double-digit Republican margins supporting the current 65% Republican versus 30% Democratic market consensus. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following incumbent Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The May 19 primaries produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, with the district's R+7 partisan voting index and history of double-digit Republican margins supporting the current 65% Republican versus 30% Democratic market consensus. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, following incumbent Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for U.S. Senate, anchors trader positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The May 19 primaries produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, with the district's R+7 partisan voting index and history of double-digit Republican margins supporting the current 65% Republican versus 30% Democratic market consensus. Forecasters rate the race solid or likely Republican, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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