Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Megan Wingfield in the November general election for Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in a strongly favorable partisan lean and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Guthrie's long tenure since 2009 and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent further reinforce this positioning. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in the district's electorate or an exceptional national political environment, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain theoretical variables that could influence outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KY-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,217 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$3,679 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Megan Wingfield in the November general election for Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in a strongly favorable partisan lean and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Guthrie's long tenure since 2009 and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent further reinforce this positioning. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in the district's electorate or an exceptional national political environment, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain theoretical variables that could influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$5,896Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Megan Wingfield in the November general election for Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in a strongly favorable partisan lean and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Guthrie's long tenure since 2009 and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent further reinforce this positioning. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in the district's electorate or an exceptional national political environment, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain theoretical variables that could influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,896Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Megan Wingfield in the November general election for Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in a strongly favorable partisan lean and forecaster ratings of solid or safe Republican, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Guthrie's long tenure since 2009 and prior general election margins exceeding 70 percent further reinforce this positioning. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented shift in the district's electorate or an exceptional national political environment, though late developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals remain theoretical variables that could influence outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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