US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
$26,743 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
7%
$26,743 Vol.
May 31
$7,941 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$26,743End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$26,743End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israel and the Lebanese government on April 14—the first since 1993—focused on ceasefire extension, UN Resolution 1701 enforcement, and Hezbollah disarmament, but excluded Hezbollah, which rejected participation and launched rockets at northern Israel during the sessions. A 10-day cessation of hostilities began April 16 and was extended by three weeks on April 23, yet mutual strikes continue as of April 27, underscoring Hezbollah's insistence on armed resistance over direct diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects low odds for an official in-person diplomatic meeting between Israel and Hezbollah representatives by May 31, given the militia's opposition and absent credible reports of authorized negotiations. Fragile de-escalation signals persist, with potential for resumed government-level talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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