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How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

icon for How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

$31,766 Vol.

Polymarket

$31,766 Vol.

4

$3,843 Vol.

99%

5

$6,093 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed exactly four non-controversial bills into law in March 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.5% on that outcome as the official public record solidifies. These included S. 4138 on March 20, waiving notice requirements for a posthumous Army promotion, and three Medal of Honor authorizations—H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211—enacted March 26, per White House briefings and GovTrack listings. With March concluded and no further enactments reported amid a light legislative calendar ahead of midterms, the wisdom of crowds prices in full resolution. Challenges would require an overlooked signing surfacing via Federal Register updates or congressional correction, scenarios deemed negligible given procedural transparency.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,766
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed exactly four non-controversial bills into law in March 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.5% on that outcome as the official public record solidifies. These included S. 4138 on March 20, waiving notice requirements for a posthumous Army promotion, and three Medal of Honor authorizations—H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211—enacted March 26, per White House briefings and GovTrack listings. With March concluded and no further enactments reported amid a light legislative calendar ahead of midterms, the wisdom of crowds prices in full resolution. Challenges would require an overlooked signing surfacing via Federal Register updates or congressional correction, scenarios deemed negligible given procedural transparency.

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.

Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,766
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4" at 99%, followed by "5" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" has generated $31.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is "4" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.