President Trump signed exactly four non-controversial bills into law in March 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.5% on that outcome as the official public record solidifies. These included S. 4138 on March 20, waiving notice requirements for a posthumous Army promotion, and three Medal of Honor authorizations—H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211—enacted March 26, per White House briefings and GovTrack listings. With March concluded and no further enactments reported amid a light legislative calendar ahead of midterms, the wisdom of crowds prices in full resolution. Challenges would require an overlooked signing surfacing via Federal Register updates or congressional correction, scenarios deemed negligible given procedural transparency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$31,766 Vol.
$31,766 Vol.
4
99%
5
<1%
$31,766 Vol.
$31,766 Vol.
4
99%
5
<1%
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump signed exactly four non-controversial bills into law in March 2026, driving trader consensus to 98.5% on that outcome as the official public record solidifies. These included S. 4138 on March 20, waiving notice requirements for a posthumous Army promotion, and three Medal of Honor authorizations—H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211—enacted March 26, per White House briefings and GovTrack listings. With March concluded and no further enactments reported amid a light legislative calendar ahead of midterms, the wisdom of crowds prices in full resolution. Challenges would require an overlooked signing surfacing via Federal Register updates or congressional correction, scenarios deemed negligible given procedural transparency.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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