Current meteorological guidance from New Zealand agencies points to a mild mid-June day in Wellington, with model consensus supporting a daily maximum near 17°C under light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for the season, where average June highs range 12–14°C but frequently reach 16–18°C amid variable westerlies or transient warm advection. Trader positioning at 90.5% for 17°C reflects this forecast stability and historical observation patterns from NIWA data, though resolution hinges on precise station readings at the peak hour. A stronger southerly outbreak or increased onshore winds could cap the maximum at 15°C or below, while clearer skies or föhn effects might push it to 18°C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 84%
18°C 14%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
$39,775 Vol.
NEW
$39,775 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
84%
18°C
14%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 84%
18°C 14%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
NEW
$39,775 Vol.
NEW
$39,775 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,425 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,793 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,500 Vol.
84%
18°C
$5,690 Vol.
14%
19°C
$3,906 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological guidance from New Zealand agencies points to a mild mid-June day in Wellington, with model consensus supporting a daily maximum near 17°C under light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for the season, where average June highs range 12–14°C but frequently reach 16–18°C amid variable westerlies or transient warm advection. Trader positioning at 90.5% for 17°C reflects this forecast stability and historical observation patterns from NIWA data, though resolution hinges on precise station readings at the peak hour. A stronger southerly outbreak or increased onshore winds could cap the maximum at 15°C or below, while clearer skies or föhn effects might push it to 18°C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$39,775End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological guidance from New Zealand agencies points to a mild mid-June day in Wellington, with model consensus supporting a daily maximum near 17°C under light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for the season, where average June highs range 12–14°C but frequently reach 16–18°C amid variable westerlies or transient warm advection. Trader positioning at 90.5% for 17°C reflects this forecast stability and historical observation patterns from NIWA data, though resolution hinges on precise station readings at the peak hour. A stronger southerly outbreak or increased onshore winds could cap the maximum at 15°C or below, while clearer skies or föhn effects might push it to 18°C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,775End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological guidance from New Zealand agencies points to a mild mid-June day in Wellington, with model consensus supporting a daily maximum near 17°C under light northerly flow and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for the season, where average June highs range 12–14°C but frequently reach 16–18°C amid variable westerlies or transient warm advection. Trader positioning at 90.5% for 17°C reflects this forecast stability and historical observation patterns from NIWA data, though resolution hinges on precise station readings at the peak hour. A stronger southerly outbreak or increased onshore winds could cap the maximum at 15°C or below, while clearer skies or föhn effects might push it to 18°C. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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