**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on June 16 centers on a 28–30°C high amid widespread cloud cover and showers, with model runs showing modest daytime heating under a moist, unstable airmass.** Persistent monsoon flow and embedded thunderstorms are expected to limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peak readings near the monthly climatological average rather than allowing full June potential near 31–32°C. Recent short-range guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models consistently signals overcast skies and periods of rain, reducing the likelihood of clear-sky maxima while also introducing timing uncertainty that keeps the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C contracts closely matched. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band where typical convective suppression meets the background thermal environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
29°C 36%
30°C 27%
28°C 24%
31°C 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
36%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 27%
28°C 24%
31°C 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$184 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$527 Vol.
1%
27°C
$766 Vol.
5%
28°C
$347 Vol.
24%
29°C
$343 Vol.
36%
30°C
$452 Vol.
27%
31°C
$629 Vol.
8%
32°C
$605 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,899 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on June 16 centers on a 28–30°C high amid widespread cloud cover and showers, with model runs showing modest daytime heating under a moist, unstable airmass.** Persistent monsoon flow and embedded thunderstorms are expected to limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peak readings near the monthly climatological average rather than allowing full June potential near 31–32°C. Recent short-range guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models consistently signals overcast skies and periods of rain, reducing the likelihood of clear-sky maxima while also introducing timing uncertainty that keeps the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C contracts closely matched. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band where typical convective suppression meets the background thermal environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,180End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on June 16 centers on a 28–30°C high amid widespread cloud cover and showers, with model runs showing modest daytime heating under a moist, unstable airmass.** Persistent monsoon flow and embedded thunderstorms are expected to limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peak readings near the monthly climatological average rather than allowing full June potential near 31–32°C. Recent short-range guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models consistently signals overcast skies and periods of rain, reducing the likelihood of clear-sky maxima while also introducing timing uncertainty that keeps the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C contracts closely matched. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band where typical convective suppression meets the background thermal environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,180End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Shenzhen on June 16 centers on a 28–30°C high amid widespread cloud cover and showers, with model runs showing modest daytime heating under a moist, unstable airmass.** Persistent monsoon flow and embedded thunderstorms are expected to limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peak readings near the monthly climatological average rather than allowing full June potential near 31–32°C. Recent short-range guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models consistently signals overcast skies and periods of rain, reducing the likelihood of clear-sky maxima while also introducing timing uncertainty that keeps the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C contracts closely matched. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow band where typical convective suppression meets the background thermal environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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