Trader consensus for Shenzhen's June 16 highest temperature centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting official model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and regional forecasts indicating typical early-summer monsoon conditions with highs near 28–30°C amid thundery showers and high humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, as June averages hover around 30–31°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall often moderate peaks below 32°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming signals or clear-sky setups pushing probabilities toward 31°C or higher. Upgraded precipitation forecasts in the past 48 hours have reinforced the 29°C lead by increasing expected daytime suppression of maximum temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 25%
31°C 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 25%
31°C 7.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$527 Vol.
1%
27°C
$771 Vol.
5%
28°C
$347 Vol.
25%
29°C
$343 Vol.
36%
30°C
$452 Vol.
26%
31°C
$629 Vol.
8%
32°C
$605 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$2,001 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shenzhen's June 16 highest temperature centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting official model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and regional forecasts indicating typical early-summer monsoon conditions with highs near 28–30°C amid thundery showers and high humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, as June averages hover around 30–31°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall often moderate peaks below 32°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming signals or clear-sky setups pushing probabilities toward 31°C or higher. Upgraded precipitation forecasts in the past 48 hours have reinforced the 29°C lead by increasing expected daytime suppression of maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,180End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shenzhen's June 16 highest temperature centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting official model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and regional forecasts indicating typical early-summer monsoon conditions with highs near 28–30°C amid thundery showers and high humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, as June averages hover around 30–31°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall often moderate peaks below 32°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming signals or clear-sky setups pushing probabilities toward 31°C or higher. Upgraded precipitation forecasts in the past 48 hours have reinforced the 29°C lead by increasing expected daytime suppression of maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,180End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Shenzhen's June 16 highest temperature centers on 28–30°C outcomes, reflecting official model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and regional forecasts indicating typical early-summer monsoon conditions with highs near 28–30°C amid thundery showers and high humidity. Seasonal climatology supports this range, as June averages hover around 30–31°C but frequent cloud cover and rainfall often moderate peaks below 32°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming signals or clear-sky setups pushing probabilities toward 31°C or higher. Upgraded precipitation forecasts in the past 48 hours have reinforced the 29°C lead by increasing expected daytime suppression of maximum temperatures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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