Traders assign the highest probability to a Seoul peak of 28°C on June 15, followed closely by 29°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration amid typical early-summer conditions. Moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with rising humidity and light southwesterly flow, limits extreme maxima while supporting values near the monthly average high of 27–30°C. Recent model runs show minor variability tied to cloud cover and any scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily peak. These factors create tight clustering around 28–29°C, with lower odds for 30°C+ requiring stronger insolation or clearer conditions than currently indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
28°C 43%
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
27°C 6%
NEW
$97,571 Vol.
NEW
$97,571 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
43%
29°C
31%
30°C
21%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
27°C 6%
NEW
$97,571 Vol.
NEW
$97,571 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$5,565 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,868 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,912 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10,754 Vol.
1%
26°C
$14,954 Vol.
2%
27°C
$12,221 Vol.
6%
28°C
$7,023 Vol.
43%
29°C
$9,034 Vol.
31%
30°C
$10,456 Vol.
21%
31°C
$11,279 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$14,137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a Seoul peak of 28°C on June 15, followed closely by 29°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration amid typical early-summer conditions. Moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with rising humidity and light southwesterly flow, limits extreme maxima while supporting values near the monthly average high of 27–30°C. Recent model runs show minor variability tied to cloud cover and any scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily peak. These factors create tight clustering around 28–29°C, with lower odds for 30°C+ requiring stronger insolation or clearer conditions than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$97,571End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a Seoul peak of 28°C on June 15, followed closely by 29°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration amid typical early-summer conditions. Moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with rising humidity and light southwesterly flow, limits extreme maxima while supporting values near the monthly average high of 27–30°C. Recent model runs show minor variability tied to cloud cover and any scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily peak. These factors create tight clustering around 28–29°C, with lower odds for 30°C+ requiring stronger insolation or clearer conditions than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,571End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a Seoul peak of 28°C on June 15, followed closely by 29°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration amid typical early-summer conditions. Moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, combined with rising humidity and light southwesterly flow, limits extreme maxima while supporting values near the monthly average high of 27–30°C. Recent model runs show minor variability tied to cloud cover and any scattered showers, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily peak. These factors create tight clustering around 28–29°C, with lower odds for 30°C+ requiring stronger insolation or clearer conditions than currently indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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