Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that should support afternoon surface heating in Paris on June 16. Ensemble spreads cluster daytime maxima between 27–29 °C, with 28 °C and 29 °C each carrying the highest market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of peak insolation, and any residual morning cloud cover can shift the daily extreme by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the ridge, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 28–29 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead rather than a locked-in outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
29°C 33%
28°C 32%
30°C 18%
27°C 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
32%
29°C
33%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 32%
30°C 18%
27°C 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$255 Vol.
1%
26°C
$960 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,410 Vol.
13%
28°C
$1,107 Vol.
32%
29°C
$1,096 Vol.
33%
30°C
$1,302 Vol.
18%
31°C
$1,500 Vol.
3%
32°C
$652 Vol.
1%
33°C
$506 Vol.
1%
34°C
$306 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$330 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that should support afternoon surface heating in Paris on June 16. Ensemble spreads cluster daytime maxima between 27–29 °C, with 28 °C and 29 °C each carrying the highest market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of peak insolation, and any residual morning cloud cover can shift the daily extreme by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the ridge, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 28–29 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead rather than a locked-in outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$9,167End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that should support afternoon surface heating in Paris on June 16. Ensemble spreads cluster daytime maxima between 27–29 °C, with 28 °C and 29 °C each carrying the highest market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of peak insolation, and any residual morning cloud cover can shift the daily extreme by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the ridge, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 28–29 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead rather than a locked-in outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,167End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, favoring mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that should support afternoon surface heating in Paris on June 16. Ensemble spreads cluster daytime maxima between 27–29 °C, with 28 °C and 29 °C each carrying the highest market-implied odds because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, timing of peak insolation, and any residual morning cloud cover can shift the daily extreme by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 22–24 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the ridge, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 28–29 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–36 hours ahead rather than a locked-in outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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