Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France favoring mostly clear skies and light easterly winds across Paris on June 15, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–29 °C under strong June insolation. Surface observations show dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover through midday, which enhances radiative heating while limiting convective cooling. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any thin cirrus or slight increases in boundary-layer mixing that could cap the peak at 28 °C versus allowing brief excursions to 29–30 °C at official urban stations. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs and real-time METAR trends against historical June variability around the 29 °C climatological mean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 33%
30°C 15.4%
27°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$36,844 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,844 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
33%
29°C
43%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 33%
30°C 15.4%
27°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$36,844 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,844 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$502 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,321 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,607 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,645 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,354 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4,596 Vol.
4%
28°C
$4,037 Vol.
33%
29°C
$3,680 Vol.
43%
30°C
$4,344 Vol.
15%
31°C
$3,865 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France favoring mostly clear skies and light easterly winds across Paris on June 15, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–29 °C under strong June insolation. Surface observations show dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover through midday, which enhances radiative heating while limiting convective cooling. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any thin cirrus or slight increases in boundary-layer mixing that could cap the peak at 28 °C versus allowing brief excursions to 29–30 °C at official urban stations. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs and real-time METAR trends against historical June variability around the 29 °C climatological mean.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$36,844Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France favoring mostly clear skies and light easterly winds across Paris on June 15, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–29 °C under strong June insolation. Surface observations show dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover through midday, which enhances radiative heating while limiting convective cooling. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any thin cirrus or slight increases in boundary-layer mixing that could cap the peak at 28 °C versus allowing brief excursions to 29–30 °C at official urban stations. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs and real-time METAR trends against historical June variability around the 29 °C climatological mean.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,844Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France favoring mostly clear skies and light easterly winds across Paris on June 15, supporting afternoon maxima near 28–29 °C under strong June insolation. Surface observations show dew points in the low teens and minimal cloud cover through midday, which enhances radiative heating while limiting convective cooling. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any thin cirrus or slight increases in boundary-layer mixing that could cap the peak at 28 °C versus allowing brief excursions to 29–30 °C at official urban stations. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs and real-time METAR trends against historical June variability around the 29 °C climatological mean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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