Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-61°F (44%) over 58-59°F (39.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on afternoon highs of 60-63°F amid lingering morning fog and low clouds. Persistent overcast conditions from a weak upper-level trough limit solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, creating a slim 1-2°F spread between outcomes; a cooler sea breeze or added showers could cap peaks nearer 58°F, while partial clearing might push toward 62°F. Current observations show 49°F with 97% humidity at dawn, below the April 30 climatological normal of 67°F. Hourly NOAA updates through evening will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
58-59°F 43%
60-61°F 41%
62-63°F 12%
56-57°F 8.3%
$169,243 Vol.
$169,243 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 43%
60-61°F 41%
62-63°F 12%
56-57°F 8.3%
$169,243 Vol.
$169,243 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
$48,405 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$26,603 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$20,047 Vol.
43%
60-61°F
$15,254 Vol.
41%
62-63°F
$13,924 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$12,458 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$13,236 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$8,519 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,626 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,528 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$4,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-61°F (44%) over 58-59°F (39.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on afternoon highs of 60-63°F amid lingering morning fog and low clouds. Persistent overcast conditions from a weak upper-level trough limit solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, creating a slim 1-2°F spread between outcomes; a cooler sea breeze or added showers could cap peaks nearer 58°F, while partial clearing might push toward 62°F. Current observations show 49°F with 97% humidity at dawn, below the April 30 climatological normal of 67°F. Hourly NOAA updates through evening will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$169,243End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-61°F (44%) over 58-59°F (39.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on afternoon highs of 60-63°F amid lingering morning fog and low clouds. Persistent overcast conditions from a weak upper-level trough limit solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, creating a slim 1-2°F spread between outcomes; a cooler sea breeze or added showers could cap peaks nearer 58°F, while partial clearing might push toward 62°F. Current observations show 49°F with 97% humidity at dawn, below the April 30 climatological normal of 67°F. Hourly NOAA updates through evening will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$169,243End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 60-61°F (44%) over 58-59°F (39.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and overnight GFS/ECMWF model runs converging on afternoon highs of 60-63°F amid lingering morning fog and low clouds. Persistent overcast conditions from a weak upper-level trough limit solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, creating a slim 1-2°F spread between outcomes; a cooler sea breeze or added showers could cap peaks nearer 58°F, while partial clearing might push toward 62°F. Current observations show 49°F with 97% humidity at dawn, below the April 30 climatological normal of 67°F. Hourly NOAA updates through evening will sharpen resolution as diurnal maximum nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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