India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on May 1, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% while 34°C or below holds 42.5% amid model uncertainty from increasing cloud cover and potential thundershowers. Late-April heatwave peaks above 42°C have eased with moisture influx from western disturbances, reducing solar insolation and favoring cooler highs than May's climatological average of 38–40°C. Partly cloudy skies (PCS) are expected to become mainly cloudy (MCS), with 40–60% relative humidity potentially suppressing peak heating by 1–2°C; exact timing of any convective activity remains the key differentiator. Official resolution hinges on IMD's Lucknow Airport observations, with intraday updates likely to sharpen probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 42%
35°C 39%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.8%
NEW
$31,913 Vol.
NEW
$31,913 Vol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
42%
35°C
39%
36°C
19%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 42%
35°C 39%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.8%
NEW
$31,913 Vol.
NEW
$31,913 Vol.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
$2,893 Vol.
42%
35°C
$2,167 Vol.
39%
36°C
$5,298 Vol.
19%
37°C
$3,358 Vol.
3%
38°C
$5,535 Vol.
1%
39°C
$3,224 Vol.
1%
40°C
$3,976 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$2,957 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$611 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$1,555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on May 1, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% while 34°C or below holds 42.5% amid model uncertainty from increasing cloud cover and potential thundershowers. Late-April heatwave peaks above 42°C have eased with moisture influx from western disturbances, reducing solar insolation and favoring cooler highs than May's climatological average of 38–40°C. Partly cloudy skies (PCS) are expected to become mainly cloudy (MCS), with 40–60% relative humidity potentially suppressing peak heating by 1–2°C; exact timing of any convective activity remains the key differentiator. Official resolution hinges on IMD's Lucknow Airport observations, with intraday updates likely to sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$31,913End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on May 1, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% while 34°C or below holds 42.5% amid model uncertainty from increasing cloud cover and potential thundershowers. Late-April heatwave peaks above 42°C have eased with moisture influx from western disturbances, reducing solar insolation and favoring cooler highs than May's climatological average of 38–40°C. Partly cloudy skies (PCS) are expected to become mainly cloudy (MCS), with 40–60% relative humidity potentially suppressing peak heating by 1–2°C; exact timing of any convective activity remains the key differentiator. Official resolution hinges on IMD's Lucknow Airport observations, with intraday updates likely to sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,913End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on May 1, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 39.5% while 34°C or below holds 42.5% amid model uncertainty from increasing cloud cover and potential thundershowers. Late-April heatwave peaks above 42°C have eased with moisture influx from western disturbances, reducing solar insolation and favoring cooler highs than May's climatological average of 38–40°C. Partly cloudy skies (PCS) are expected to become mainly cloudy (MCS), with 40–60% relative humidity potentially suppressing peak heating by 1–2°C; exact timing of any convective activity remains the key differentiator. Official resolution hinges on IMD's Lucknow Airport observations, with intraday updates likely to sharpen probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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