Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on May 1, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow. This setup—typical for early May climatology with average USC downtown highs near 73°F—limits inland warming, differentiating the leading 70-71°F bin from 72°F+ via boundary layer stability and midday clearing timing; stronger high-pressure ridging or delayed stratus burn-off could tip toward hotter outcomes. Recent April cool trends have moderated, but lingering coastal clouds cap extremes, with 68-69°F viable if night marine intrusion deepens. New 12z model runs expected midday will refine uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
70-71°F 41%
72°F or higher 35%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5.5%
NEW
$18,043 Vol.
NEW
$18,043 Vol.
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
41%
72°F or higher
35%
70-71°F 41%
72°F or higher 35%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5.5%
NEW
$18,043 Vol.
NEW
$18,043 Vol.
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$201 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$792 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$5,961 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$4,356 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,918 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,786 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$1,099 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$876 Vol.
41%
72°F or higher
$1,292 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on May 1, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow. This setup—typical for early May climatology with average USC downtown highs near 73°F—limits inland warming, differentiating the leading 70-71°F bin from 72°F+ via boundary layer stability and midday clearing timing; stronger high-pressure ridging or delayed stratus burn-off could tip toward hotter outcomes. Recent April cool trends have moderated, but lingering coastal clouds cap extremes, with 68-69°F viable if night marine intrusion deepens. New 12z model runs expected midday will refine uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$18,043End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on May 1, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow. This setup—typical for early May climatology with average USC downtown highs near 73°F—limits inland warming, differentiating the leading 70-71°F bin from 72°F+ via boundary layer stability and midday clearing timing; stronger high-pressure ridging or delayed stratus burn-off could tip toward hotter outcomes. Recent April cool trends have moderated, but lingering coastal clouds cap extremes, with 68-69°F viable if night marine intrusion deepens. New 12z model runs expected midday will refine uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,043End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles on May 1, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific waters and moderate onshore flow. This setup—typical for early May climatology with average USC downtown highs near 73°F—limits inland warming, differentiating the leading 70-71°F bin from 72°F+ via boundary layer stability and midday clearing timing; stronger high-pressure ridging or delayed stratus burn-off could tip toward hotter outcomes. Recent April cool trends have moderated, but lingering coastal clouds cap extremes, with 68-69°F viable if night marine intrusion deepens. New 12z model runs expected midday will refine uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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