Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's May 3 maximum surface temperature clustering around 36–39°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies, fueling trader sentiment for 39°C or higher (50.5%) as the leading outcome alongside 36–38°C bins near 35.5%. This positioning reflects April's exceptional warming trend reported by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), with recent highs of 33–35°C on May 1 showing an upward trajectory typical of the seasonal shift to summer. Coastal Red Sea breezes may moderate peaks via evaporative cooling, but low cloud cover favors intensification. Climatological May averages hover at 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport; monitor NCM briefings and 12Z model updates for refinements amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
37°C 36%
39°C or higher 35%
38°C 22%
36°C 17%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
17%
37°C
36%
38°C
23%
39°C or higher
26%
37°C 36%
39°C or higher 35%
38°C 22%
36°C 17%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
17%
37°C
36%
38°C
23%
39°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's May 3 maximum surface temperature clustering around 36–39°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies, fueling trader sentiment for 39°C or higher (50.5%) as the leading outcome alongside 36–38°C bins near 35.5%. This positioning reflects April's exceptional warming trend reported by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), with recent highs of 33–35°C on May 1 showing an upward trajectory typical of the seasonal shift to summer. Coastal Red Sea breezes may moderate peaks via evaporative cooling, but low cloud cover favors intensification. Climatological May averages hover at 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport; monitor NCM briefings and 12Z model updates for refinements amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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