Current National Weather Service and private model consensus indicates sunny conditions and a high near 79–82°F for Denver on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning (39.5% implied probability), with adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capturing residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and downslope flow. The normal high of 83°F provides climatological context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler amid modest northeasterly winds. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 24.0%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 24.0%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 4.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$81 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,040 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$271 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$480 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$588 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$247 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$183 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$153 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$820 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus indicates sunny conditions and a high near 79–82°F for Denver on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning (39.5% implied probability), with adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capturing residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and downslope flow. The normal high of 83°F provides climatological context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler amid modest northeasterly winds. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,874End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus indicates sunny conditions and a high near 79–82°F for Denver on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning (39.5% implied probability), with adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capturing residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and downslope flow. The normal high of 83°F provides climatological context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler amid modest northeasterly winds. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,874End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus indicates sunny conditions and a high near 79–82°F for Denver on June 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. This places the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning (39.5% implied probability), with adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capturing residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and downslope flow. The normal high of 83°F provides climatological context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler amid modest northeasterly winds. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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