Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 82–83°F in Dallas on June 15, driven by a moist, weakly sheared air mass favoring widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Surface dew points near 70°F and northeasterly flow are suppressing the typical June boundary-layer mixing that would otherwise push readings toward the mid-90s. The near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins reflects lingering uncertainty in convective timing and cloud persistence across the latest model runs, with any earlier clearing or weaker storms potentially adding 1–2°F. Official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
84-85°F 31%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 6.3%
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 31%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 6.3%
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 82–83°F in Dallas on June 15, driven by a moist, weakly sheared air mass favoring widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Surface dew points near 70°F and northeasterly flow are suppressing the typical June boundary-layer mixing that would otherwise push readings toward the mid-90s. The near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins reflects lingering uncertainty in convective timing and cloud persistence across the latest model runs, with any earlier clearing or weaker storms potentially adding 1–2°F. Official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport will determine resolution once the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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