**Recent forecasts position 15–16°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s June 15 maximum temperature, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers daytime highs near the long-term June average of 17°C, but current model guidance shows slightly cooler conditions. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a maximum of 15°C with light rain possible, while other runs reach 16°C under clearer or less windy scenarios. A coastal low and fresh southerly flow affecting the Western Cape in mid-June have kept temperatures suppressed after earlier cold fronts. These conditions create a narrow distribution centered on 15–16°C, with 17°C remaining plausible if daytime heating strengthens. Lower outcomes below 14°C or above 18°C carry minimal implied probability because they would require atypical synoptic setups not supported by current data. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected official updates from South African meteorological services, which resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 25%
14°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
25%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 25%
14°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$939 Vol.
2%
15°C
$952 Vol.
31%
16°C
$929 Vol.
45%
17°C
$622 Vol.
25%
18°C
$1,154 Vol.
1%
19°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$693 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 15–16°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s June 15 maximum temperature, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers daytime highs near the long-term June average of 17°C, but current model guidance shows slightly cooler conditions. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a maximum of 15°C with light rain possible, while other runs reach 16°C under clearer or less windy scenarios. A coastal low and fresh southerly flow affecting the Western Cape in mid-June have kept temperatures suppressed after earlier cold fronts.
These conditions create a narrow distribution centered on 15–16°C, with 17°C remaining plausible if daytime heating strengthens. Lower outcomes below 14°C or above 18°C carry minimal implied probability because they would require atypical synoptic setups not supported by current data. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected official updates from South African meteorological services, which resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,802End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 15–16°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s June 15 maximum temperature, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers daytime highs near the long-term June average of 17°C, but current model guidance shows slightly cooler conditions. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a maximum of 15°C with light rain possible, while other runs reach 16°C under clearer or less windy scenarios. A coastal low and fresh southerly flow affecting the Western Cape in mid-June have kept temperatures suppressed after earlier cold fronts.
These conditions create a narrow distribution centered on 15–16°C, with 17°C remaining plausible if daytime heating strengthens. Lower outcomes below 14°C or above 18°C carry minimal implied probability because they would require atypical synoptic setups not supported by current data. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected official updates from South African meteorological services, which resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,802End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position 15–16°C as the most likely range for Cape Town’s June 15 maximum temperature, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers daytime highs near the long-term June average of 17°C, but current model guidance shows slightly cooler conditions. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as yr.no and world-weather.info indicate a maximum of 15°C with light rain possible, while other runs reach 16°C under clearer or less windy scenarios. A coastal low and fresh southerly flow affecting the Western Cape in mid-June have kept temperatures suppressed after earlier cold fronts. These conditions create a narrow distribution centered on 15–16°C, with 17°C remaining plausible if daytime heating strengthens. Lower outcomes below 14°C or above 18°C carry minimal implied probability because they would require atypical synoptic setups not supported by current data. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected official updates from South African meteorological services, which resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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