Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime high of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on June 15, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warm advection or cold-front passage expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. Historical June averages near 17 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface pressure favor slightly cooler outcomes, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (31 %) and 16 °C (45 %). Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 15?
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 25%
14°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
25%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 25%
14°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$939 Vol.
2%
15°C
$952 Vol.
31%
16°C
$929 Vol.
45%
17°C
$622 Vol.
25%
18°C
$1,154 Vol.
1%
19°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$693 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime high of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on June 15, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warm advection or cold-front passage expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. Historical June averages near 17 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface pressure favor slightly cooler outcomes, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (31 %) and 16 °C (45 %). Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,804End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime high of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on June 15, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warm advection or cold-front passage expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. Historical June averages near 17 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface pressure favor slightly cooler outcomes, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (31 %) and 16 °C (45 %). Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,804End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime high of 15–16 °C for Cape Town on June 15, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong warm advection or cold-front passage expected to push temperatures outside this narrow band. Historical June averages near 17 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and surface pressure favor slightly cooler outcomes, underpinning the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (31 %) and 16 °C (45 %). Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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