Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (36.5%) and 23°C (34%) for Busan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range update on April 30 projects a daytime high of 22°C in the southeastern region, with mostly cloudy morning conditions giving way to clear afternoons, light west-southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation after early showers; hourly peaks hit 22°C around 3 p.m. local time. Gimhae Airport forecasts nudge toward 23°C maximum under partly cloudy skies post-rain. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar heating potential, residual cloud cover persistence, and station-specific measurements at Busan's official KMA site, against a climatological early-May average high near 20°C following late-April cool spells. Overnight KMA revisions could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 1?
24°C 37%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
34%
24°C
37%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
23°C 34%
25°C 16%
22°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
34%
24°C
37%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (36.5%) and 23°C (34%) for Busan's highest temperature on May 1, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range update on April 30 projects a daytime high of 22°C in the southeastern region, with mostly cloudy morning conditions giving way to clear afternoons, light west-southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation after early showers; hourly peaks hit 22°C around 3 p.m. local time. Gimhae Airport forecasts nudge toward 23°C maximum under partly cloudy skies post-rain. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar heating potential, residual cloud cover persistence, and station-specific measurements at Busan's official KMA site, against a climatological early-May average high near 20°C following late-April cool spells. Overnight KMA revisions could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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