Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating highs across Central Texas on June 15, keeping readings below the typical mid-90s June average. Southerly moisture advection combined with weak steering flow favors convective development that limits solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Minor divergences among GFS and ECMWF runs on storm timing and coverage explain the spread between the 82–83°F (35.5%), 80–81°F (27.5%), and 84–85°F (25.5%) bins, while historical June climatology and recent above-normal rainfall further tilt trader consensus toward these cooler outcomes ahead of tomorrow's official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 4.5%
NEW
$15,079 Vol.
NEW
$15,079 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 4.5%
NEW
$15,079 Vol.
NEW
$15,079 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$232 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$805 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$914 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$1,033 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$911 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$1,541 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$2,556 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$3,834 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating highs across Central Texas on June 15, keeping readings below the typical mid-90s June average. Southerly moisture advection combined with weak steering flow favors convective development that limits solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Minor divergences among GFS and ECMWF runs on storm timing and coverage explain the spread between the 82–83°F (35.5%), 80–81°F (27.5%), and 84–85°F (25.5%) bins, while historical June climatology and recent above-normal rainfall further tilt trader consensus toward these cooler outcomes ahead of tomorrow's official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,079End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating highs across Central Texas on June 15, keeping readings below the typical mid-90s June average. Southerly moisture advection combined with weak steering flow favors convective development that limits solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Minor divergences among GFS and ECMWF runs on storm timing and coverage explain the spread between the 82–83°F (35.5%), 80–81°F (27.5%), and 84–85°F (25.5%) bins, while historical June climatology and recent above-normal rainfall further tilt trader consensus toward these cooler outcomes ahead of tomorrow's official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,079End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover moderating highs across Central Texas on June 15, keeping readings below the typical mid-90s June average. Southerly moisture advection combined with weak steering flow favors convective development that limits solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 80–85°F. Minor divergences among GFS and ECMWF runs on storm timing and coverage explain the spread between the 82–83°F (35.5%), 80–81°F (27.5%), and 84–85°F (25.5%) bins, while historical June climatology and recent above-normal rainfall further tilt trader consensus toward these cooler outcomes ahead of tomorrow's official Austin-Bergstrom observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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