National Weather Service guidance for Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport projects a high near 74°F on May 1 under partly sunny skies following overnight showers and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to a 58% implied probability for 70°F or higher while positioning 68-69°F at 31% amid lingering cloud cover and 20% morning precipitation odds that could suppress peak heating. A departing shortwave disturbance has introduced cooler mid-level air, tempering highs below the climatological May 1 average of 77°F, with GFS model ensembles showing tight agreement on mild recovery conditions. Forecast uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and insolation; new 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 1?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 1?
70°F or higher 56.5%
68-69°F 30.9%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.2%
$31,556 Vol.
$31,556 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
31%
70°F or higher
57%
70°F or higher 56.5%
68-69°F 30.9%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.2%
$31,556 Vol.
$31,556 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
31%
70°F or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport projects a high near 74°F on May 1 under partly sunny skies following overnight showers and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to a 58% implied probability for 70°F or higher while positioning 68-69°F at 31% amid lingering cloud cover and 20% morning precipitation odds that could suppress peak heating. A departing shortwave disturbance has introduced cooler mid-level air, tempering highs below the climatological May 1 average of 77°F, with GFS model ensembles showing tight agreement on mild recovery conditions. Forecast uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and insolation; new 12z GFS and ECMWF runs expected today could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions