Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 28–29°C in Ankara on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This consensus aligns with June climatology, where average highs typically range 26–29°C, positioning the 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the market’s leading implied probabilities at 46% and 35.5%. Any late-model shifts toward stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could favor 30°C, while delayed warming or higher humidity might support 27°C, though current runs show limited divergence ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
28°C 46%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
46%
29°C
36%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$416 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$134 Vol.
1%
26°C
$945 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
12%
28°C
$246 Vol.
46%
29°C
$421 Vol.
36%
30°C
$167 Vol.
6%
31°C
$231 Vol.
1%
32°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 28–29°C in Ankara on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This consensus aligns with June climatology, where average highs typically range 26–29°C, positioning the 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the market’s leading implied probabilities at 46% and 35.5%. Any late-model shifts toward stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could favor 30°C, while delayed warming or higher humidity might support 27°C, though current runs show limited divergence ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,359End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 28–29°C in Ankara on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This consensus aligns with June climatology, where average highs typically range 26–29°C, positioning the 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the market’s leading implied probabilities at 46% and 35.5%. Any late-model shifts toward stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could favor 30°C, while delayed warming or higher humidity might support 27°C, though current runs show limited divergence ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,359End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 28–29°C in Ankara on June 16 under stable high-pressure conditions, mostly clear skies, and light winds. This consensus aligns with June climatology, where average highs typically range 26–29°C, positioning the 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the market’s leading implied probabilities at 46% and 35.5%. Any late-model shifts toward stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could favor 30°C, while delayed warming or higher humidity might support 27°C, though current runs show limited divergence ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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