Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system bringing sunny, stable conditions to Ankara on June 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 25°C (52.5% implied probability) as the day's peak temperature. This aligns with seasonal June averages of 25–27°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation, with consensus highs clustering between 24–26°C. Current conditions on June 14, with daytime readings near 20°C under partly cloudy skies, suggest gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Minor spreads to 27°C (1.5%) or lower outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, but traders appear to weigh the clear-sky outlook and historical baselines heavily in pricing these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 15?
25°C 53%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$10,200 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,200 Vol.
15 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
53%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$10,200 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,200 Vol.
15 jun 2026
20°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$802 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,053 Vol.
1%
23°C
$860 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,142 Vol.
14%
25°C
$834 Vol.
53%
26°C
$1,079 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,003 Vol.
2%
28°C
$859 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,260 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system bringing sunny, stable conditions to Ankara on June 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 25°C (52.5% implied probability) as the day's peak temperature. This aligns with seasonal June averages of 25–27°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation, with consensus highs clustering between 24–26°C. Current conditions on June 14, with daytime readings near 20°C under partly cloudy skies, suggest gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Minor spreads to 27°C (1.5%) or lower outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, but traders appear to weigh the clear-sky outlook and historical baselines heavily in pricing these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$10,200Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system bringing sunny, stable conditions to Ankara on June 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 25°C (52.5% implied probability) as the day's peak temperature. This aligns with seasonal June averages of 25–27°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation, with consensus highs clustering between 24–26°C. Current conditions on June 14, with daytime readings near 20°C under partly cloudy skies, suggest gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Minor spreads to 27°C (1.5%) or lower outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, but traders appear to weigh the clear-sky outlook and historical baselines heavily in pricing these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,200Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system bringing sunny, stable conditions to Ankara on June 15, supporting the market's strong consensus around 25°C (52.5% implied probability) as the day's peak temperature. This aligns with seasonal June averages of 25–27°C highs and recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation, with consensus highs clustering between 24–26°C. Current conditions on June 14, with daytime readings near 20°C under partly cloudy skies, suggest gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Minor spreads to 27°C (1.5%) or lower outcomes reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges in temperature predictions, but traders appear to weigh the clear-sky outlook and historical baselines heavily in pricing these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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