**Forecast consensus from major models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s top outcomes (23°C at 44.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 22%).** South-easterly flow is advecting mild air across the Netherlands, while scattered light showers and increasing cloud cover—already indicated in the latest KNMI and BBC guidance—limit strong daytime heating. These conditions keep the highest temperature below the seasonal potential for mid-June highs near 25°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight cluster of ensemble solutions around 23°C, where modest shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the official KNMI observation between 22°C and 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 45%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
45%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 45%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
26%
23°C
45%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from major models points to a daytime maximum of 22–24°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s top outcomes (23°C at 44.5%, 22°C at 26.5%, 24°C at 22%).** South-easterly flow is advecting mild air across the Netherlands, while scattered light showers and increasing cloud cover—already indicated in the latest KNMI and BBC guidance—limit strong daytime heating. These conditions keep the highest temperature below the seasonal potential for mid-June highs near 25°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the tight cluster of ensemble solutions around 23°C, where modest shifts in frontal timing or insolation could still nudge the official KNMI observation between 22°C and 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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