Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and YR.no point to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15, driven by a mix of overcast to scattered cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud breaks or the timing of light showers can shift the afternoon peak by 1°C, while model consensus shows low potential for either stronger cooling or brief clearing that would push readings to 19°C or higher. This tight range aligns with typical mid-June variability in the Netherlands, where Atlantic influences and diurnal warming under partly cloudy conditions often produce peaks clustered around seasonal averages near 18°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will likely determine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 47%
17°C 43%
19°C 12%
16°C 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
17°C 43%
19°C 12%
16°C 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
$537 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,792 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,301 Vol.
43%
18°C
$794 Vol.
47%
19°C
$1,332 Vol.
12%
20°C
$941 Vol.
2%
21°C
$746 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$756 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and YR.no point to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15, driven by a mix of overcast to scattered cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud breaks or the timing of light showers can shift the afternoon peak by 1°C, while model consensus shows low potential for either stronger cooling or brief clearing that would push readings to 19°C or higher. This tight range aligns with typical mid-June variability in the Netherlands, where Atlantic influences and diurnal warming under partly cloudy conditions often produce peaks clustered around seasonal averages near 18°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will likely determine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,086End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and YR.no point to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15, driven by a mix of overcast to scattered cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud breaks or the timing of light showers can shift the afternoon peak by 1°C, while model consensus shows low potential for either stronger cooling or brief clearing that would push readings to 19°C or higher. This tight range aligns with typical mid-June variability in the Netherlands, where Atlantic influences and diurnal warming under partly cloudy conditions often produce peaks clustered around seasonal averages near 18°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will likely determine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,086End Date
Jun 15, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and YR.no point to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 15, driven by a mix of overcast to scattered cloud cover, moderate westerly winds, and limited solar heating under stable high pressure. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud breaks or the timing of light showers can shift the afternoon peak by 1°C, while model consensus shows low potential for either stronger cooling or brief clearing that would push readings to 19°C or higher. This tight range aligns with typical mid-June variability in the Netherlands, where Atlantic influences and diurnal warming under partly cloudy conditions often produce peaks clustered around seasonal averages near 18°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will likely determine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions