Polymarket traders price a 90% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady at 2.50% amid March consumer price inflation rising to 2.2% year-over-year—near the 2% target—and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts from J.P. Morgan (3%) and Citibank (2.9%). Solid economic momentum and persistent risks from global uncertainties, including oil shocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's pause, have diminished rate-cut expectations, with hike odds at just 5% and cuts at 1.8%. Traders await fresh April inflation data and employment figures ahead of the data-dependent decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 92%
Increase 5%
Decrease 1.8%
$46,179 Vol.
$46,179 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
92%
Increase
5%
No Change 92%
Increase 5%
Decrease 1.8%
$46,179 Vol.
$46,179 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
92%
Increase
5%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 90% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous April 10 decision to hold steady at 2.50% amid March consumer price inflation rising to 2.2% year-over-year—near the 2% target—and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts from J.P. Morgan (3%) and Citibank (2.9%). Solid economic momentum and persistent risks from global uncertainties, including oil shocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's pause, have diminished rate-cut expectations, with hike odds at just 5% and cuts at 1.8%. Traders await fresh April inflation data and employment figures ahead of the data-dependent decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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