Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in its May 28 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous April 10 decision to maintain rates amid solid Q1 GDP growth of 1.7%—the strongest since 2020—and March CPI inflation at 2.2%, hovering near the 2% target despite surging import prices. Upgraded 2026 growth forecasts from J.P. Morgan (3%) and Citibank (2.9%) have diminished rate-cut expectations, while outgoing Governor Rhee Chang-yong emphasized a data-dependent stance amid Middle East uncertainties. Challenges could arise from sharper inflation spikes or a hawkish pivot by incoming Governor Shin, though recent business sentiment improvements to 94.9 reinforce the hold. Key catalysts include May CPI data and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 92%
Increase 4%
Decrease 1.8%
$46,179 Vol.
$46,179 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
92%
Increase
4%
No Change 92%
Increase 4%
Decrease 1.8%
$46,179 Vol.
$46,179 Vol.
Decrease
2%
No Change
92%
Increase
4%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in its May 28 meeting, reflecting the Monetary Policy Board's unanimous April 10 decision to maintain rates amid solid Q1 GDP growth of 1.7%—the strongest since 2020—and March CPI inflation at 2.2%, hovering near the 2% target despite surging import prices. Upgraded 2026 growth forecasts from J.P. Morgan (3%) and Citibank (2.9%) have diminished rate-cut expectations, while outgoing Governor Rhee Chang-yong emphasized a data-dependent stance amid Middle East uncertainties. Challenges could arise from sharper inflation spikes or a hawkish pivot by incoming Governor Shin, though recent business sentiment improvements to 94.9 reinforce the hold. Key catalysts include May CPI data and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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