Trader consensus implies a 73% probability of Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation sometime in 2026, propelled by secondary market trading on Forge Global pricing Anthropic at $1 trillion—already exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate tripling to $30 billion by April 2026, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude coding tools and partnerships like Broadcom, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion amid the latter's investor scrutiny. VC offers top $800 billion pre-money for Anthropic's next raise, potentially at $900 billion, with sustained growth key ahead of year-end IPO considerations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$40,899 Vol.
$40,899 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$40,899 Vol.
$40,899 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 73% probability of Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation sometime in 2026, propelled by secondary market trading on Forge Global pricing Anthropic at $1 trillion—already exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate tripling to $30 billion by April 2026, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude coding tools and partnerships like Broadcom, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion amid the latter's investor scrutiny. VC offers top $800 billion pre-money for Anthropic's next raise, potentially at $900 billion, with sustained growth key ahead of year-end IPO considerations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$40,899End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 73% probability of Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation sometime in 2026, propelled by secondary market trading on Forge Global pricing Anthropic at $1 trillion—already exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate tripling to $30 billion by April 2026, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude coding tools and partnerships like Broadcom, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion amid the latter's investor scrutiny. VC offers top $800 billion pre-money for Anthropic's next raise, potentially at $900 billion, with sustained growth key ahead of year-end IPO considerations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,901End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 73% probability of Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation sometime in 2026, propelled by secondary market trading on Forge Global pricing Anthropic at $1 trillion—already exceeding OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March funding round. This momentum stems from Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate tripling to $30 billion by April 2026, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude coding tools and partnerships like Broadcom, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion amid the latter's investor scrutiny. VC offers top $800 billion pre-money for Anthropic's next raise, potentially at $900 billion, with sustained growth key ahead of year-end IPO considerations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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