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icon for GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
Finance·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?

icon for GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
Finance·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?

May 31

May 31

$12,180 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$12,180 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $6.00

$0 Vol.

50%

↑ $5.50

$0 Vol.

50%

↓ $4.40

$0 Vol.

55%

↓ $4.30

$48 Vol.

35%

↓ $4.20

$45 Vol.

50%

↓ $4.10

$36 Vol.

64%

↓ $4.00

$0 Vol.

52%

↓ $3.75

$481 Vol.

60%

↓ $3.50

$70 Vol.

52%

↓ $3.00

$2 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on NVIDIA B200 GPU rental prices hinges on persistent AI compute shortages fueling a 114% surge in the Ornn Compute Price Index to $4.95 per hour as of late April 2026, up from $2.31 in early March, driven by frontier model releases like GPT-5.5 demanding Blackwell's 192GB HBM3e memory for expanded context windows. Spot rates across providers like Vast.ai ($3.80/hr), Runpod ($5.49/hr), and Spheron ($2.06/hr spot) show a widening $2.25–$16.00/hr spread, reflecting scarcity premiums amid sold-out inventories and limited supply ramps. Upcoming NVIDIA production updates and potential Q2 earnings could ease pressures, but sustained hyperscaler demand from AWS p6 instances and neoclouds signals inflationary pricing dynamics through May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$12,180
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on NVIDIA B200 GPU rental prices hinges on persistent AI compute shortages fueling a 114% surge in the Ornn Compute Price Index to $4.95 per hour as of late April 2026, up from $2.31 in early March, driven by frontier model releases like GPT-5.5 demanding Blackwell's 192GB HBM3e memory for expanded context windows. Spot rates across providers like Vast.ai ($3.80/hr), Runpod ($5.49/hr), and Spheron ($2.06/hr spot) show a widening $2.25–$16.00/hr spread, reflecting scarcity premiums amid sold-out inventories and limited supply ramps. Upcoming NVIDIA production updates and potential Q2 earnings could ease pressures, but sustained hyperscaler demand from AWS p6 instances and neoclouds signals inflationary pricing dynamics through May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$12,180
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn B200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $5.00" at 100%, followed by "↑ $4.75" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?" is "↑ $5.00" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4.75" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.