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icon for GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?
Finance·Nvidia

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?

icon for GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?
Finance·Nvidia

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?

May 31

May 31

NEW
May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$4,663 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.50

$134 Vol.

29%

↑ $5.00

$60 Vol.

31%

↑ $4.50

$125 Vol.

39%

↑ $4.25

$0 Vol.

52%

↑ $4.00

$41 Vol.

54%

↑ $3.90

$0 Vol.

49%

↓ $3.00

$140 Vol.

50%

↓ $2.50

$116 Vol.

43%

↓ $2.00

$370 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in NVIDIA H200 GPU rental pricing, driven by explosive AI compute demand outstripping supply amid persistent shortages. As of late April 2026, spot rates on Vast.ai hover at a median $2.32–$2.64 per GPU-hour, while Ornn Compute Price Index benchmarks—tracking cloud and on-premise markets—recently tested $3.14 levels, up sharply from early-year lows following a 40% surge in Hopper-series contracts per SemiAnalysis data. Surging agentic AI workloads and post-training needs have fueled March–April rallies, with B200 premiums widening gaps. Key catalyst ahead: NVIDIA's Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20, potentially revealing Blackwell ramp-up impacts before May 31 resolution. Markets price probabilities, not certainties, with supply dynamics pivotal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$4,663
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in NVIDIA H200 GPU rental pricing, driven by explosive AI compute demand outstripping supply amid persistent shortages. As of late April 2026, spot rates on Vast.ai hover at a median $2.32–$2.64 per GPU-hour, while Ornn Compute Price Index benchmarks—tracking cloud and on-premise markets—recently tested $3.14 levels, up sharply from early-year lows following a 40% surge in Hopper-series contracts per SemiAnalysis data. Surging agentic AI workloads and post-training needs have fueled March–April rallies, with B200 premiums widening gaps. Key catalyst ahead: NVIDIA's Q1 FY2027 earnings on May 20, potentially revealing Blackwell ramp-up impacts before May 31 resolution. Markets price probabilities, not certainties, with supply dynamics pivotal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$4,663
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $3.70" at 100%, followed by "↓ $3.60" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?" is "↓ $3.70" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $3.60" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.