Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 29 omitted disclosure of total Gemini app monthly active users, last officially reported above 750 million in the prior quarter's call, fueling trader uncertainty around high-threshold outcomes like 800 million or 900 million. Instead, CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users among major clients like Bosch and Citi, alongside 350 million total paid subscriptions across consumer AI plans driven by the Gemini app and surging token processing to 16 billion per minute via APIs. Gemini's traffic share has climbed to 21% globally per Similarweb, narrowing the gap with ChatGPT's 64% dominance amid intensifying AI assistant competition, though non-disclosure leaves resolution hinging on potential clarifications before market close; watch Q2 earnings in late July for next benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5,691 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
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$5,691 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 29 omitted disclosure of total Gemini app monthly active users, last officially reported above 750 million in the prior quarter's call, fueling trader uncertainty around high-threshold outcomes like 800 million or 900 million. Instead, CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users among major clients like Bosch and Citi, alongside 350 million total paid subscriptions across consumer AI plans driven by the Gemini app and surging token processing to 16 billion per minute via APIs. Gemini's traffic share has climbed to 21% globally per Similarweb, narrowing the gap with ChatGPT's 64% dominance amid intensifying AI assistant competition, though non-disclosure leaves resolution hinging on potential clarifications before market close; watch Q2 earnings in late July for next benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$5,691End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 29 omitted disclosure of total Gemini app monthly active users, last officially reported above 750 million in the prior quarter's call, fueling trader uncertainty around high-threshold outcomes like 800 million or 900 million. Instead, CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users among major clients like Bosch and Citi, alongside 350 million total paid subscriptions across consumer AI plans driven by the Gemini app and surging token processing to 16 billion per minute via APIs. Gemini's traffic share has climbed to 21% globally per Similarweb, narrowing the gap with ChatGPT's 64% dominance amid intensifying AI assistant competition, though non-disclosure leaves resolution hinging on potential clarifications before market close; watch Q2 earnings in late July for next benchmarks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$5,691End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 29 omitted disclosure of total Gemini app monthly active users, last officially reported above 750 million in the prior quarter's call, fueling trader uncertainty around high-threshold outcomes like 800 million or 900 million. Instead, CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users among major clients like Bosch and Citi, alongside 350 million total paid subscriptions across consumer AI plans driven by the Gemini app and surging token processing to 16 billion per minute via APIs. Gemini's traffic share has climbed to 21% globally per Similarweb, narrowing the gap with ChatGPT's 64% dominance amid intensifying AI assistant competition, though non-disclosure leaves resolution hinging on potential clarifications before market close; watch Q2 earnings in late July for next benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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