Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 97.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid robust private funding momentum. Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by April 29 reports of $50 billion funding talks at over $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI—signals ample liquidity without public market pressures. Claude large language model revenue reportedly hit $30 billion annualized, fueling secondary market valuations near $1 trillion, yet leadership prioritizes growth over near-term listing. Realistic challenges include unexpected regulatory shifts or competitive rushes from rivals like OpenAI, but H1 timelines remain improbable given historical AI IPO patterns and quiet Q2 preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo IPO by June 30, 2026 97.2%
600B+ 1.7%
<100B <1%
400–600B <1%
$1,112,452 Vol.
$1,112,452 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
<1%
600B+
2%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
97%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 97.2%
600B+ 1.7%
<100B <1%
400–600B <1%
$1,112,452 Vol.
$1,112,452 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$225,346 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$79,890 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$134,701 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$82,654 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$132,242 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$262,165 Vol.
2%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$195,454 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 97.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid robust private funding momentum. Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by April 29 reports of $50 billion funding talks at over $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI—signals ample liquidity without public market pressures. Claude large language model revenue reportedly hit $30 billion annualized, fueling secondary market valuations near $1 trillion, yet leadership prioritizes growth over near-term listing. Realistic challenges include unexpected regulatory shifts or competitive rushes from rivals like OpenAI, but H1 timelines remain improbable given historical AI IPO patterns and quiet Q2 preparations.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,112,452End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 97.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid robust private funding momentum. Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by April 29 reports of $50 billion funding talks at over $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI—signals ample liquidity without public market pressures. Claude large language model revenue reportedly hit $30 billion annualized, fueling secondary market valuations near $1 trillion, yet leadership prioritizes growth over near-term listing. Realistic challenges include unexpected regulatory shifts or competitive rushes from rivals like OpenAI, but H1 timelines remain improbable given historical AI IPO patterns and quiet Q2 preparations.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,112,452End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 97.2% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid robust private funding momentum. Anthropic's February Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by April 29 reports of $50 billion funding talks at over $900 billion—surpassing OpenAI—signals ample liquidity without public market pressures. Claude large language model revenue reportedly hit $30 billion annualized, fueling secondary market valuations near $1 trillion, yet leadership prioritizes growth over near-term listing. Realistic challenges include unexpected regulatory shifts or competitive rushes from rivals like OpenAI, but H1 timelines remain improbable given historical AI IPO patterns and quiet Q2 preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions