Israel has escalated airstrikes and artillery shelling in Gaza over the past week, particularly east of Gaza City and in Rafah, expanding military sites into permanent bases as revealed by satellite imagery from mid-April, while sidelining a US-backed technocratic administration. Despite fragile ceasefires in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran, these actions—coupled with Hamas's rejection of disarmament demands—have heightened tensions without a formal major ground offensive announcement. IDF preparations for renewed heavy combat, ongoing diplomatic negotiations, and potential cabinet approvals on further operations represent key catalysts; traders monitor for escalation signals amid historical patterns of post-ceasefire flare-ups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$523,769 Vol.
31 oct 2025
30 de junio
26%
31 de diciembre
54%
$523,769 Vol.
30 de junio
$25,597 Vol.
26%
31 de diciembre
$21,429 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel has escalated airstrikes and artillery shelling in Gaza over the past week, particularly east of Gaza City and in Rafah, expanding military sites into permanent bases as revealed by satellite imagery from mid-April, while sidelining a US-backed technocratic administration. Despite fragile ceasefires in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran, these actions—coupled with Hamas's rejection of disarmament demands—have heightened tensions without a formal major ground offensive announcement. IDF preparations for renewed heavy combat, ongoing diplomatic negotiations, and potential cabinet approvals on further operations represent key catalysts; traders monitor for escalation signals amid historical patterns of post-ceasefire flare-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$523,769Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel has escalated airstrikes and artillery shelling in Gaza over the past week, particularly east of Gaza City and in Rafah, expanding military sites into permanent bases as revealed by satellite imagery from mid-April, while sidelining a US-backed technocratic administration. Despite fragile ceasefires in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran, these actions—coupled with Hamas's rejection of disarmament demands—have heightened tensions without a formal major ground offensive announcement. IDF preparations for renewed heavy combat, ongoing diplomatic negotiations, and potential cabinet approvals on further operations represent key catalysts; traders monitor for escalation signals amid historical patterns of post-ceasefire flare-ups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$523,769Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel has escalated airstrikes and artillery shelling in Gaza over the past week, particularly east of Gaza City and in Rafah, expanding military sites into permanent bases as revealed by satellite imagery from mid-April, while sidelining a US-backed technocratic administration. Despite fragile ceasefires in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran, these actions—coupled with Hamas's rejection of disarmament demands—have heightened tensions without a formal major ground offensive announcement. IDF preparations for renewed heavy combat, ongoing diplomatic negotiations, and potential cabinet approvals on further operations represent key catalysts; traders monitor for escalation signals amid historical patterns of post-ceasefire flare-ups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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