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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Benjamin Netanyahu 32%

Gadi Eizenkot 31.7%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.3%

Polymarket

$15,712,339 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 32%

Gadi Eizenkot 31.7%

Naftali Bennett 24%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.3%

Polymarket

$15,712,339 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,337,146 Vol.

32%

Gadi Eizenkot

$974,148 Vol.

32%

Naftali Bennett

$1,580,929 Vol.

24%

Avigdor Lieberman

$1,066,532 Vol.

3%

Gilad Erdan

$33,402 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$990,518 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$631,376 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$1,151,295 Vol.

1%

Yair Lapid

$792,278 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$989,347 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$519,673 Vol.

<1%

Israel Katz

$391,953 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$968,917 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$975,721 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$965,804 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$695,684 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$1,090,042 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$564,121 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud-led right-religious bloc hovering near or below the 61-seat majority threshold, while opposition parties including Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's "Together" alliance and Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party compete closely for the largest share. Voter fatigue with the incumbent after extended tenure, coalition reliance on far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners, and security concerns tied to ongoing conflicts contribute to the fragmented landscape. Eizenkot's military background and centrist positioning have boosted his standing as a potential opposition leader, narrowing gaps in direct prime ministerial preference surveys. Further party realignments, shifts in security developments, or changes in turnout among key voting blocs could alter coalition math and clarify the frontrunner before election day.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,712,339
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 2026 Knesset election show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud-led right-religious bloc hovering near or below the 61-seat majority threshold, while opposition parties including Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's "Together" alliance and Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party compete closely for the largest share. Voter fatigue with the incumbent after extended tenure, coalition reliance on far-right and ultra-Orthodox partners, and security concerns tied to ongoing conflicts contribute to the fragmented landscape. Eizenkot's military background and centrist positioning have boosted his standing as a potential opposition leader, narrowing gaps in direct prime ministerial preference surveys. Further party realignments, shifts in security developments, or changes in turnout among key voting blocs could alter coalition math and clarify the frontrunner before election day.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$15,712,339
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 32%, seguido de "Gadi Eizenkot" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $15.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.