Trump administration's rejection of Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift the US naval blockade in exchange for delaying nuclear negotiations has entrenched trader consensus at 71.5% against a deal by June 30. Insisting on immediate curbs to Tehran's uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program as preconditions, President Trump deemed the offer inadequate, prioritizing nuclear constraints over ceasefire. Earlier indirect talks in February similarly stalled without bridging core gaps on sanctions relief and verification. With no new rounds scheduled and Iran vowing to protect its nuclear capabilities, the high-stakes diplomatic standoff signals formidable barriers to resolution in the remaining timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,445,784 Vol.
$1,445,784 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,445,784 Vol.
$1,445,784 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump administration's rejection of Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift the US naval blockade in exchange for delaying nuclear negotiations has entrenched trader consensus at 71.5% against a deal by June 30. Insisting on immediate curbs to Tehran's uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program as preconditions, President Trump deemed the offer inadequate, prioritizing nuclear constraints over ceasefire. Earlier indirect talks in February similarly stalled without bridging core gaps on sanctions relief and verification. With no new rounds scheduled and Iran vowing to protect its nuclear capabilities, the high-stakes diplomatic standoff signals formidable barriers to resolution in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,445,784Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump administration's rejection of Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift the US naval blockade in exchange for delaying nuclear negotiations has entrenched trader consensus at 71.5% against a deal by June 30. Insisting on immediate curbs to Tehran's uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program as preconditions, President Trump deemed the offer inadequate, prioritizing nuclear constraints over ceasefire. Earlier indirect talks in February similarly stalled without bridging core gaps on sanctions relief and verification. With no new rounds scheduled and Iran vowing to protect its nuclear capabilities, the high-stakes diplomatic standoff signals formidable barriers to resolution in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$1,445,788Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration's rejection of Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift the US naval blockade in exchange for delaying nuclear negotiations has entrenched trader consensus at 71.5% against a deal by June 30. Insisting on immediate curbs to Tehran's uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program as preconditions, President Trump deemed the offer inadequate, prioritizing nuclear constraints over ceasefire. Earlier indirect talks in February similarly stalled without bridging core gaps on sanctions relief and verification. With no new rounds scheduled and Iran vowing to protect its nuclear capabilities, the high-stakes diplomatic standoff signals formidable barriers to resolution in the remaining timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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